📚 Area 5 Elementary Analysis Portal

AnTransparent, data-driven insights on Granite School District’s Area 5 proposals

An independent analysis by Granite School District parents.

Overview

This portal provides an independent, in-depth look at data and trends that are essential to understanding the recent Population Advisory Committee (PAC) recommendations and their near and long-term implications for Granite School District’s Area 5 elementary schools.

  • Enrollment Trends: 22-year histories (2004-2025) + multi-method statistical forecasts (2026-2030) for all 10 Area 5 schools.
  • Student Mobility: 2024-2025 analysis of where Area 5 students live vs. where they attend; reveals true demand and choice behavior across 3,521 boundary students and 4,226 school enrollments.
  • Morningside Study: Detailed look at 3rd grade Advanced Learning Center (ALC) entry, school choice, & impact of magnet conversion.

All data sourced from district records and PAC documents.

Explore the Data

📈 Enrollment Trends

Historic enrollment, statistical forecasts, and over/under-utilization risk for each school.
📑 Population Studies

Comprehensive summary of the Granite School District's population studies.
📊 Mobility Matrices

Interactive Sankey charts showing 2024-25 student flows: 3,521 boundary students, 4,226 school enrollments. Reveals cross-boundary movements and choice patterns.
🎓 Morningside Study

Unpacks ALC's 3rd grade intake and why discontinuing traditional at Morningside matters.
💡 Strategic Conclusions

Data-driven recommendations for school closures and strengthening resilience through diverse programming. Highlights why in-boundary enrollment is a poor predictor.

Why This Portal Matters

Accessible data drives informed decisions. This portal transforms complex district datasets into interactive visualizations you can explore, empowering parents, educators, and community members to engage meaningfully in the boundary study process.

  • 21-Year Enrollment Perspective:
    Interactive charts reveal that while Area 5 enrollment has dropped overall, individual school trajectories vary dramatically. Statistical forecasts with confidence intervals help assess capacity planning assumptions.
    Explore school-by-school trends & forecasts →
  • Student Movement Transparency:
    Sankey flow diagrams and mobility matrices make complex enrollment patterns instantly visible: which schools draw students from across boundaries (Morningside 66.3%, Penn 55.0%), and which retain local families (Cottonwood 83.5%). These data are critical for understanding how boundary changes will impact real families.
    See interactive mobility visualizations →
  • Program Impact Analysis:
    Data-driven examination of how specialized programs (ALC, DLI) shape enrollment. For example, understanding that Morningside's traditional pathway serves as the primary 3rd grade ALC entry point helps assess the true impact of magnet conversion.
    Dive into the program analysis →
  • Evidence-Based Planning:
    By making district data accessible and analyzable, this portal enables stakeholders to ask better questions, identify unintended consequences (like Eastwood's 53.2% choice population), and advocate for solutions grounded in evidence rather than assumptions.

Our Goal: Democratize access to PAC data so every voice in the conversation can be informed by the same facts, trends, and insights that guide district planning.

Area 5 School Snapshots

High "Choice" Schools:
  • Morningside: 66.3% out-of-boundary (561 total)
  • Penn: 55.0% out-of-boundary (606 total)
  • Eastwood: 53.2% out-of-boundary (267 total)
In-Boundary Enrollment:
  • Cottonwood: 83.5% in-boundary (highest)
  • Morningside: 61.2% in-boundary (lowest)
  • Average: 75.2% stay at boundary school

How to Use This Site

  • Enrollment Trends: Each school’s page includes 21-year enrollment, interactive graphs, and confidence bands for 5-year forecasts using 7 statistical methods. Toggle between raw counts and % of minimum building capacity.
    Try the interactive charts →
  • Mobility Matrices: Navigate student flows by home area and school attended for total, in-/out-boundary, and open-enrollment metrics.
    Dive into mobility data →
  • Morningside Study: Explore how 3rd grade ALC admissions depend on the traditional pathway, and see scenario projections if it’s removed.
    Read the analysis →

Data Sources: Official GSD enrollment and mobility reports, PAC meeting packets, capacity spreadsheets. Last updated Spring 2024.

Disclaimer: This is an independent analysis for informational and community discussion; not an official Granite School District resource.

⚠️ This is an independent analysis, not affiliated with Granite School District. The goal of this analysis is to improve accessilibty to the PAC Area 5 2025 Boundary Study data. If you find inaccuracies in the data or any other mistakes, or would like to contribute directly, please reach out to https://github.com/granite-pa-25-resources/home/issues and submit a bug report. .